三大经济长波理论的比较研究

Starting from the end of the 19th century, economists discovered one after another the regularity during
capitalist economy development, i. e.，there would be a long wave every 50一60 years by and large, thus research and exploration of the topic of "economic long wave”was carried out in the academia and lasted for a whole century. Concerning the existence issue of long wave, a common decision has been basically made in the academia, i. e.，the long wave phenomenon does exist during the capitalist economy development. Concerning the reasons of long wave, there are various opinions on the current stage, and the scholars will get different or even contrary conclusions from different perspectives. In such situation, the article carefully studies and explores the long wave theory on the current stage both at home and abroad, and classifies the current research into three categories according to different research perspectives, i. e.，technological creation long wave theory，system evolution long wave theory and exogenous long wave theory. Based on introduction, comparison and analysis of these three long wave theories, the article tries to provide a possible direction for further development of the economic long wave theory.