出口导向型发展战略已不可持续

全球经济危机背景下的理论反思

Translated title of the contribution: Export-oriented Developing Strategy Has Not Been Sustainable: Theoretical Rethink in the Background of Global Economic Crisis

卢 映西

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

148 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

There exists two kinds of comments that are quite opposite to each other on the performance and the result of the export-oriented development strategy adopted in my country, of which the one in the majority is that it achieves a great lot while the non-major idea heralded by Zhong Da-jun being that it doesn't pay to implement it. On second thoughts, it is only the latter that conforms to the common sense and theoretical tradition. Even if the former is agrees upon for the moment, strategies of this kind in fact are already unable to be continued under the current international economic situations. To explain such a phenomenon, the free trade theory, though in
the majority, is held eligible no longer, and we have to practise profound theoretical reflections. One of the most famous precursors is no one other than Paul Samulsen. Hereby on this paper a further elaboration made from the perspective of overproduction instead of scarce resources once maintained in the leading western economics reveals that the fundamental causes which prevent the free trade engendering the current economic crisis still lie in the production surplus as pointed out by economists like Marx. Unless we take seriously or solve properly the overproduction problem, it will be impossible for the world trade to be liberal indeed and the potential for economic crisis can not die out diametrically as well.
Original languageChinese (Simplified)
Pages (from-to)80-91
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of Economics of Shanghai School
Volume7
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

overproduction
free trade
economic crisis
international economics
economic situation
development strategy
world trade
economist
cause
resources
performance
economics

Keywords

  • Export一oriented
  • Free Trade
  • Consumption Capacity
  • Production Surplus
  • Economic Crisis

Cite this

出口导向型发展战略已不可持续 : 全球经济危机背景下的理论反思. / 卢映西.

In: Journal of Economics of Shanghai School, Vol. 7, No. 3, 2009, p. 80-91.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

@article{469550b601cf4153b20503badbd8b54e,
title = "出口导向型发展战略已不可持续: 全球经济危机背景下的理论反思",
abstract = "对我国出口导向型发展战略的成效有两种针锋相对的评价,主流的观点是此战略成就巨大,而以仲大军为代表的非主流观点则是得不偿失。细究之下,后一种观点才是符合常识和理论传统的。即使同意前一种观点,在目前的国际经济形势下,出口导向型战略实际上已经不可持续。要解释这种状况,主流的自由贸易理论已不能胜任,我们必须进行深刻的理论反思。这种反思的著名先驱是保罗·萨缪尔森。本文更进一步,以生产过剩的视角取代西方主流经济学的资源稀缺视角,说明阻碍自由贸易和引发当前经济危机的根本原因仍是马克思等经济学家指出过的生产过剩。不认真正视和妥善解决生产过剩问题,国际贸易就不可能实现真正的自由,经济危机的可能性也不会彻底消除。",
keywords = "出口导向, 自由贸易, 消费能力, 生产过剩, 经济危机, Export一oriented, Free Trade, Consumption Capacity, Production Surplus, Economic Crisis",
author = "映西 卢",
year = "2009",
language = "Chinese (Simplified)",
volume = "7",
pages = "80--91",
journal = "Journal of Economics of Shanghai School",
publisher = "上海财经大学海派经济学研究中心",
number = "3",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - 出口导向型发展战略已不可持续

T2 - 全球经济危机背景下的理论反思

AU - 卢, 映西

PY - 2009

Y1 - 2009

N2 - 对我国出口导向型发展战略的成效有两种针锋相对的评价,主流的观点是此战略成就巨大,而以仲大军为代表的非主流观点则是得不偿失。细究之下,后一种观点才是符合常识和理论传统的。即使同意前一种观点,在目前的国际经济形势下,出口导向型战略实际上已经不可持续。要解释这种状况,主流的自由贸易理论已不能胜任,我们必须进行深刻的理论反思。这种反思的著名先驱是保罗·萨缪尔森。本文更进一步,以生产过剩的视角取代西方主流经济学的资源稀缺视角,说明阻碍自由贸易和引发当前经济危机的根本原因仍是马克思等经济学家指出过的生产过剩。不认真正视和妥善解决生产过剩问题,国际贸易就不可能实现真正的自由,经济危机的可能性也不会彻底消除。

AB - 对我国出口导向型发展战略的成效有两种针锋相对的评价,主流的观点是此战略成就巨大,而以仲大军为代表的非主流观点则是得不偿失。细究之下,后一种观点才是符合常识和理论传统的。即使同意前一种观点,在目前的国际经济形势下,出口导向型战略实际上已经不可持续。要解释这种状况,主流的自由贸易理论已不能胜任,我们必须进行深刻的理论反思。这种反思的著名先驱是保罗·萨缪尔森。本文更进一步,以生产过剩的视角取代西方主流经济学的资源稀缺视角,说明阻碍自由贸易和引发当前经济危机的根本原因仍是马克思等经济学家指出过的生产过剩。不认真正视和妥善解决生产过剩问题,国际贸易就不可能实现真正的自由,经济危机的可能性也不会彻底消除。

KW - 出口导向

KW - 自由贸易

KW - 消费能力

KW - 生产过剩

KW - 经济危机

KW - Export一oriented

KW - Free Trade

KW - Consumption Capacity

KW - Production Surplus

KW - Economic Crisis

M3 - 文章

VL - 7

SP - 80

EP - 91

JO - Journal of Economics of Shanghai School

JF - Journal of Economics of Shanghai School

IS - 3

ER -