区域金融风险影响区域经济发展的空间研究

Translated title of the contribution: Research on Space Correlation of the Regional Financial Risk Influence

孙 红梅, 郭 梦荫, 王 雪

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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Abstract

In recent years, it is possibal that the growing scale of local government debt increases the risk of regional finance risk. Based on nearly 10 years the national 31 provinces domain reflect the financial risk and spatial panel data of the regional economic development, construction of regional financial risk to the comprehensive development index of regional economy,the space effect is a analysis to regional financial risk prevention on regional economic developments through the establishment of space doberman model.The results showed that Area has a crowding out effect on adjacent areas after the influence factors of the macroeconomic environment in space. From the point of direct effect and indirect effect,it is the more serious that interaction between regional than variable change of a single region in the area.Therefore,to prevent regional financial risks into systemic risk more need to strengthen monitoring on adjacent area financial operation environment.
Original languageChinese (Simplified)
Pages (from-to)147-158
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of Economics of Shanghai School
Volume14
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 2016
Externally publishedYes

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Financial risk
Regional economic development
Systemic risk
Government debt
Regional economy
Panel data
Risk prevention
Crowding-out effect
Monitoring
Indirect effects
Interaction
Macroeconomics
Direct effect
Finance
Influence factors
Local government

Keywords

  • Regional Financial Risk
  • Regional Economic Development
  • The Spatial Panel Model

Cite this

区域金融风险影响区域经济发展的空间研究. / 孙红梅; 郭梦荫; 王雪.

In: Journal of Economics of Shanghai School, Vol. 14, No. 1, 2016, p. 147-158.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

孙红梅, 郭梦荫 & 王雪 2016, '区域金融风险影响区域经济发展的空间研究', Journal of Economics of Shanghai School, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 147-158.
孙红梅 ; 郭梦荫 ; 王雪. / 区域金融风险影响区域经济发展的空间研究. In: Journal of Economics of Shanghai School. 2016 ; Vol. 14, No. 1. pp. 147-158.
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title = "区域金融风险影响区域经济发展的空间研究",
abstract = "近年来,不断增长的地方政府债务加大了区域金融风险发生的可能性。本文基于近十年全国31个省域反映金融风险与区域经济发展的空间面板数据,构建区域金融风险防范指标与区域经济综合发展指数,通过建立空间杜宾模型分析区域间金融风险防范对区域经济发展的空间影响。研究结果显示,区域内宏观经济环境在加入空间的影响因素后,对相邻地区产生了挤出效应;从直接效应和间接效应来看,区域间的相互作用比区域内单个地区的变量改变所造成的影响更为严重。因此防范区域性金融风险转变成系统性风险,更需要对邻近区域金融运行环境加强监测。",
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AU - 孙, 红梅

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AU - 王, 雪

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AB - 近年来,不断增长的地方政府债务加大了区域金融风险发生的可能性。本文基于近十年全国31个省域反映金融风险与区域经济发展的空间面板数据,构建区域金融风险防范指标与区域经济综合发展指数,通过建立空间杜宾模型分析区域间金融风险防范对区域经济发展的空间影响。研究结果显示,区域内宏观经济环境在加入空间的影响因素后,对相邻地区产生了挤出效应;从直接效应和间接效应来看,区域间的相互作用比区域内单个地区的变量改变所造成的影响更为严重。因此防范区域性金融风险转变成系统性风险,更需要对邻近区域金融运行环境加强监测。

KW - Regional Financial Risk

KW - Regional Economic Development

KW - The Spatial Panel Model

KW - 区域金融风险

KW - 区域经济发展

KW - 空间面板模型

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JO - Journal of Economics of Shanghai School

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